DOLLAR BEARS LICK THEIR WOUNDS AS YELLEN SHOW BULLS SOME LOVE

Photo credit: medium.com
And that was beautiful wrapped present from federal reserve
chairwoman, Janet Yellen, yesterday for the USD bulls when she said it will be unwise
to delay tightening. The hawkish tone of Yellen sent the dollar up against all
it major pairs.
Chairwoman Yellen, was not explicit on dates for a possible
rate hike but her stands on financial reform and tax cuts was in line with that
of President Trump. That was enough for investors to drive the dollar high. Her
tone has given back some life to a possible rate hike in March which was believed to
be off the table when weekly and hourly wage data came in weak few weeks ago.
Yellen testimony surprised many traders and investors as most
where sure of a modest tone. Due to that a pair like the EUR/USD was very
strong. Poor data from Germany and Euro zone which should have sent it tumbling
was shaken off and even broadly better data from the US could not shake the EUR/USD
until the testimony session started.
The EUR/USD lost it footing and it was dragged deep into the
1.05600 regions. The EUR/USD has not recovered since. Its currently trading in
the 1.05500 regions with a day two of Yellen testimony before congress very
much eyed.
The EUR/USD will be an interesting pair to watch with politics
hovering over the euro zone. The politics of Le Pen in France threatens the
future of the single market.
The USD/JPY pair also had a walk in the park as analyzed. The
pair was up and currently controlling 114 regions with an eye for 115 regions
now that it has tested above the 200 simple moving average (sma) on the 4hour
chart. If the pair is able to hold above the 200sma of 114.550 there is a clear
opening for an upward change in trend in the coming weeks.
More data from the US is coming up today and the market seem
confident of it being positive for the dollar bulls. Traders and investors will
be watching Core Consumer Price Index (MoM) for January, Industrial Production
Index (MoM) January and Retail sales (MoM) January, if they fall in place for bulls,
plus a hawkish tone from Yellen then nothing can be out of reach of bulls for today
and the coming weeks.
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